Rationale and Objectives
To define a statistically based variation of individual whole-lung densitometry above which a real increase of pulmonary extent can be suspected in lung cancer screening trials.
Materials and Methods
Baseline and 3-month follow-up low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) examinations of 131 smokers or former smokers recruited in the ITALUNG (32 subjects) and MILD (99 subjects) trials were compared using for each data set two different image processing tools for whole-lung densitometry. Both trials were approved by institutional review boards, and written informed consent was obtained from all participants. Assuming that no change of emphysema extent can occur in a 3-month interval, the Bland and Altman method was used to assess the agreement between baseline and follow-up LDCT examinations for lung volume, 15th percentile (Perc15) of lung density and Perc15 corrected for lung volume by application of a linear detrend on log-transformed data.
Results
Similar results were obtained in each data set using two different image processing tools. In the ITALUNG cohort the 95% limits of agreement (LoA) interval of volume corrected Perc15 was −9.7 to 10.7% using image processing method 1 and −10.3 to 11.5% using image processing method 2. In the MILD cohort, the 95% LoA interval of volume corrected Perc15 was −14.7 to 17.3% with both image processing methods.
Conclusion
In the two considered lung cancer screening settings a range of 9.7–14.7% decrease of volume corrected Perc15 represents a statistically defined threshold to suspect a real increase of emphysema extent in serial LDCT examinations.
Computed tomography (CT) densitometric indexes are more sensitive and specific than pulmonary function tests in detecting subtle progression of pulmonary emphysema . This is particularly important in view of the several emerging therapeutics options aimed to halt progression of emphysema, such as new drugs, lung volume reduction surgery, and bronchoscopically implanted valves .
Lung cancer screening trials with low-dose CT (LDCT) provide large cohorts for studying the natural course of smoking-related emphysema. LDCT as it is implemented in lung cancer screening trials has been proved to be effective for quantifying emphysema extent . However, despite standardization of LDCT acquisition protocols for lung cancer screening, the assessment of the emphysema progression over time remains challenging because lung density measurements are influenced by changes in the levels of inspiration between repeated CT examinations . Therefore, it is recommended that all longitudinal studies apply a lung volume correction procedure for assessing the evolution of emphysema .
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Materials and methods
Study Population
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LDCT Protocols
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Densitometric Measurements
Image processing method 1
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Image processing method 2
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ITALUNG Trial
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MILD Trial
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Data Analysis and Lung Volume Correction Technique
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Lung volume, RA950, Perc15, and volume corrected Perc15 measurements of baseline and follow-up LDCT examinations were compared with a paired t -test with 0.05 significance level.
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Results
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ITALUNG Trial
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Table 1
Descriptive Statistics (Mean and SD) for Total Lung Volumes, RA950, Perc15, and Volume-corrected Perc15 Measurements in the ITALUNG and MILD Cohorts
ITALUNG trial MILD trial Baseline Follow-up Baseline Follow-up Method 1 Method 2 Method 1 Method 2 Method 1 Method 2 Method 1 Method 2 Lung volume (L) 5.41 (1.36) 5.48 (1.38) 5.45 (1.31) 5.52 (1.32) 6.26 (1.24) 6.29 (1.22) 6.24 (1.19) 6.27 (1.18) RA950 (HU) 5.7 (8.7) 6.5 (8.5) 6.0 (9.1) 6.8 (8.8) 6.2 (6.5) 6.6 (6.7) 6.2 (6.7) 6.5 (6.8) Perc15g/L (g/L) 80.8 (26.1) 77.0 (24.4) 80.4 (25.9) 76.7 (24.7) 75.9 (22.1) 74.8 (22.3) 75.4 (21.5) 74.7 (21.8) Perc15g/L corrected for lung volume (g/L) 80.8 (26.1) 77.0 (24.4) 80.8 (26.8) 77.3 (25.7) 75.9 (22.1) 74.8 (22.3) 76.0 (22.5) 74.8 (22.2)
HU, Hounsfield unit; Perc15, 15th percentile; method 1, image processing method designed in our laboratory; method 2, Fraunhofer MeVis Research, Bremen, Germany; RA950, relative area at −950 HU.
Lung volumes, RA950, Perc15, and volume-corrected Perc15 averages were statistically unchanged between baseline and 3-month follow-up examination for both image processing methods ( P > .05 at a paired t -test).
Data are reported as mean (standard deviation).
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Table 2
Results of Bland and Altman Analysis on Lung Volumes and Perc15 Measurements Without and With Lung Volumes Correction
Without Lung Volume Correction With Lung Volume Correction Mean Difference 95% Limits of Agreement Half-width of 95% LoA Interval Mean Difference 95% Limits of Agreement Half-width of 95% LoA Interval ITALUNG trial Method 1 Lung volume (%) 0.9% −15.7 to 20.8% 18.2% NA NA NA Perc15 (%) −0.4% −16.6 to 19.1% 17.8% 0.0% −9.7 to 10.7% 10.2% Method 2 Lung volume (%) 0.9% −15.6 to 20.5% 18.1% NA NA NA Perc15 (%) −0.3% −17.3 to 20.3% 18.8% 0.0% −10.3 to 11.5% 10.9% MILD trial Method 1 Lung volume (%) −0.0% −11.3 to 12.6% 12.0% NA NA NA Perc15 (%) −0.5% −20.3 to 24.1% 22.2% 0.0% −14.7 to 17.3% 16.0% Method 2 Lung volume (%) −0.2% −11.3 to 12.3% 11.8% NA NA NA Perc15 (%) −0.1% −20.1 to 25.0% 22.5% 0.0% −14.7 to 17.3% 16.0%
HU, Hounsfield unit; LoA, limits of agreement; method 1, image processing method designed in our laboratory; method 2, Fraunhofer MeVis Research, Bremen, Germany; NA, not applicable; Perc15, 15th percentile; RA950, relative area at −950 HU.
All Kendall τ tests applied to difference and average measurements of log-transformed data were not significant ( P > .05).
Table 3
Linear Regression Coefficients ( a and b ) Between Log-transformed Lung Volume Difference and Perc15 Difference for Both Trials and Image Processing Methods (Linear Regression Equation y = a x + b ) along with Pearson r Correlation Coefficients (All Significant, P < .001)
a b r ITALUNG trial Method 1 −0.82 0.002 −0.82 Method 2 −0.86 0.002 −0.81 MILD trial Method 1 −1.29 −0.002 −0.69 Method 2 −1.34 −0.001 −0.70
Method 1, image processing method designed in our laboratory; method 2, Fraunhofer MeVis Research, Bremen, Germany; Perc15, 15th percentile.
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MILD Trial
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Comparison of Regression Coefficients
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Discussion
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