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Measurement Accuracy of Atherosclerotic Plaque Structure on CT Using Phantoms to Establish Ground Truth

Rationale and Objectives

The purpose of this study was to characterize analytic performance of software-aided arterial vessel structure measurements across a range of scanner settings for computed tomography angiography where ground truth is known. We characterized performance for measurands that may be efficiently measured for clinical cases without use of software, as well as those that may be done manually but which is generally not done due to the effort level required unless software is employed.

Materials and Methods

Four measurands (lumen area, stenosis, wall area, wall thickness) were evaluated using tissue-mimicking phantoms to estimate bias, heteroscedasticity, and limits of quantitation both pooled across scanner settings and individually for eight different settings. Reproducibility across scanner settings was also estimated.

Results

Measurements of lumen area have a near constant bias of +1.3 mm for measurements ranging from 3 mm 2 to 40 mm 2 ; stenosis bias is +7% across a 30%–70% range; wall area bias is +14% across a 50–450 mm 2 range; and wall thickness bias is +1.2 mm across a 3–9 mm range. All measurements possess properties that make them suitable for measuring longitudinal change. Lumen area demonstrates the most sensitivity to scanner settings (bias from as low as +.1 mm to as high as +2.7 mm); wall thickness demonstrates negligible sensitivity.

Conclusions

Variability across scanner settings for lumen measurands was generally higher than bias for a given setting. The converse was true for the wall measurands, where variability due to scanner settings was very low. Both bias and variability due to scanner settings of vessel structure were within clinically useful levels.

Introduction

Assessment of atherosclerotic plaque is an essential diagnostic and treatment-planning tool. Extensive efforts have begun to provide quantitative information to the physician in assessing an individual patient’s immediate cardiovascular risk. Sophisticated and powerful, post-processing of computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging has been proposed , and this technology offers noninvasive alternatives to invasive catheterization procedures.

To evaluate an image-based analysis, performance should be compared to ground truth evaluated across a spectrum of disease and imaging protocols routinely used in clinical practice. In this work, we use synthetic vessel phantoms with readily measured ground truth values. The phantoms are fabricated using vessel tissue-mimicking material, as the true vessel wall thickness value in excised tissue would be difficult to ascertain, and bias is not expected to differ with clinical data. Our group has also conducted reader variability studies using clinical data to study precision based on the assumption that patient anatomy variability contributes significantly to the variability in the measurements. Our use of phantoms to estimate bias, and clinical data to estimate variability, is based on this rationale.

Materials and Methods

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Figure 1, Physical geometry of vascular phantoms. Dimensions designated by the letters A–G are used in calculations of specific ground truth values, as indicated in the Results section, where A is the reference lumen, B is the stenotic lumen, C is the length of the stenosis, D is the length over which the wall is thickest, E is the difference between where the wall is thickest and where it is thinnest, F is the length over which the wall is thinnest, and G is the thinnest wall. Each phantom has different dimensions so as to coincide with typical arterial presentations.

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Imaging

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Target Definition and Analysis

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Target Initialization

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Lumen Segmentation

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Wall Segmentation

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Segmentation Editing

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Figure 2, Examples of vessels from our study. (a) Examples of phantoms scanned in the study. From left to right: Left carotid, left carotid, left femoral, right femoral, and aorta. (b) Axial image of all phantoms without lumen and wall boundaries defined by CTA-derived measurements. (c) Axial image of all phantoms with defined lumen and wall boundaries. CTA, computed tomography angiography.

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Quantitative Measurements

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Statistical Analysis

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RDC=1.962σ2ε−−−√=2.77σε R

D

C

=

1.96

2

σ

ε

2

=

2.77

σ

ε

where σ2ε σ

ε

2 is the within-vessel across-settings variance. The range in which two measurements on the same vessel were expected to fall for 95% of measurements is given by [−RDC, +RDC] . Additionally, the within-vessel coefficient of variability (wCV inter-settings ) was calculated as a measure of precision for single measurements but which may be taken according to different acquisition settings . It was calculated in an analogous fashion, but dividing each vessel-based σ2ε σ

ε

2 by the square of the mean of the two measurements. Both wCV inter-settings and %RDC are relative measures proportional to the magnitude of the vessel’s size. Because we were interested in how the metrics changed for differing vessel sizes, we plotted the percentage metrics as a function of vessel size.

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Results

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Lumen Area

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Figure 3, (a) Scatter plot of CTA-derived lumen area measurements versus ground truth, pooled over vessels in the original scale of mm 2 . The fit of the line indicates good linearity of the measurements. (b) Plot of limit of quantitation in CTA-derived lumen area measurements by ground truth, pooled over vessels in the scale of percent mm 2 . The bias is higher at low ground truth values, whereas the bias is nearly constant over the 10%–40% range. (c) Plot of precision in terms of reproducibility coefficient (see Methods section) of CTA-derived lumen area measurements, pooled over vessels in the scale of percent mm 2 . There is more variability in the measurements at low areas. CTA, computed tomography angiography.

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Table 1

(A) Bias Profile for Lumen Area Across Arteries and Scanner Settings, and (B) Stratified Analysis for Lumen Area

(A) Pooled Across Arteries and Scanner Settings True value (mm 2 ) 3.14–5.7 7.0–13.0 28.0–39.0 Overall No. of observations 16 24 16 56 Mean bias \* [95% CI] 0.94 [0.16, 1.73] 0.94 [0.25, 1.62] 2.14 [1.04, 3.23] 1.28 [0.81, 1.76] Mean % bias † [95% CI] 23.6% [4.1%, 43.1%] 8.2% [1.4%, 15.0%] 6.5% [3.1%, 9.9%] 12.1% [5.9%, 18.3%] SD [95% CI] 1.48 [1.09, 2.29] 1.62 [1.26, 2.27] 2.06 [1.52, 3.18] 1.77 [1.49, 2.18]

(B) Pooled Across Arteries But Stratified By Scanner Settings kVp 100 100 100 100 120 120 120 120 mAs 156 156 325 325 156 156 606 606 CTDIvol (mGy) ‡ 4.95 4.95 10.3 10.3 8.12 8.12 16.9 16.88 Filter B30f soft B30f B30f soft B30f B26f B30f B30f I30f Mean bias \* [95% CI] 1.10 [0.68, 2.89] 1.96 [0.25, 3.67] 0.25 [0.73, 1.22] 0.10 [−65, 0.86] 0.96 [−0.53, 2.46] 2.67 [0.63, 4.72] 2.67 [1.68, 3.66] 0.53 [−0.92, 1.99] Mean % bias † [95% CI] 11% [14%, 36%] 15% [7%, 24%] −2% [−11%, 7%] 1% [−4%, 6%] 7% [9%, 51%] 30% [9%, 51%] 36% [−1.2%, 73%] −1% [−11%, 8%] SD [95% CI] 1.93 [1.24, 4.25] 1.85 [1.19, 4.07] 1.05 [0.68, 2.32] 0.81 [0.52, 1.79] 1.62 [1.04, 3.56] 2.21 [1.42, 4.87] 1.07 [0.69, 2.36] 1.57 [1.01, 3.46]

CI, confidence interval; CTA, computed tomography angiography; DICOM, Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine; SD, standard deviation.

The bins were established according to approximate consistency observed in result (the vertebral and the smallest carotid being the first bin, the other carotids and the smallest femoral in the middle bin, and the larger femoral with the aorta in the third bin).

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Maximum Stenosis

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Figure 4, (a) Scatter plot of CTA-derived maximum stenosis measurements versus ground truth, pooled over vessels in the original scale of percent expressed as a ratio. The fit suggests good linearity. (b) Plot of limit of quantitation in CTA-derived maximum stenosis measurements by ground truth, pooled over vessels in the scale of percent ratio. The data suggest constant bias in the 0.3–0.9 range. (c) Plot of precision in terms of reproducibility coefficient (see Methods section) of CTA-derived maximum stenosis measurements, pooled over vessels in the scale of percent ratio. The precision increases over the range of 0.3–0.8. CTA, computed tomography angiography.

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Table 2

(A) Bias Profile for Maximum Stenosis Across Arteries and Scanner Settings, and (B) Stratified Analysis for Maximum Stenosis

(A) Pooled Across Arteries and Scanner Settings True value (ratio) 0.32–0.35 0.50 0.63–0.67 Overall No. of observations 24 8 24 56 Mean bias \* [95% CI] 0.022 [0.007, 0.037] 0.059 [0.037, 0.081] 0.045 [0.016, 0.075] 0.037 [0.023, 0.052] Mean % bias † [95% CI] 6.48 [2.08, 10.88] −11.87 [7.47, 16.26] 6.77 [2.26, 11.29] 7.38 [4.69, 10.06] SD [95% CI] 0.036 [0.028, 0.050] 0.026 [0.017 0.053] 0.070 [0.054, 0.098] 0.054 [0.045, 0.066]

(B) Pooled Across Arteries But Stratified By Scanner Settings kVp 100 100 100 100 120 120 120 120 mAs 156 156 325 325 156 156 606 606 CTDIvol (mGy) ‡ 4.95 4.95 10.3 10.3 8.12 8.12 16.9 16.88 Filter B30f soft B30f B30f soft B30f B26f B30f B30f I30f Mean bias \* [95% CI] 0.04 [0.01, 0.07] 0.03 [0.02, 0.07] 0.04 [0.00, 0.09] 0.06 [0.00, 0.16] 0.06 [0.02, 0.10] 0.05 [0.00, 0.09] −0.01 [−0.10, 0.07] −0.01 [−0.10, 0.07] Mean % bias † [95% CI] 9% [2%, 16%] 5% [−5%, 16%] 8% [3%, 14%] 10% [1%, 19%] 12% [6%, 18%] 9% [1%, 18%] −2% [−18%, 14%] −5% [2%, 3%] SD [95% CI] 0.03 [0.02, 0.06] 0.05 [0.03, 0.11] 0.04 [0.03, 0.10] 0.06 [0.04, 0.14] 0.04 [0.02, 0.09] 0.04 [0.03, 0.09] 0.09 [0.06, 0.21] 0.02 [0.02, 0.05]

CI, confidence interval; CTA, computed tomography angiography; DICOM, Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine; SD, standard deviation.

The bins were established according to approximate consistency observed in result (the vertebral and the two smallest carotids being the first bin, the other carotid and the smallest femoral in the middle bin, and the larger femoral with the aorta in the third bin).

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Wall Area

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Figure 5, (a) Scatter plot of CTA-derived wall area measurements versus ground truth, pooled over vessels in the original scale of mm 2 , indicating linearity. (b) Plot of limit of quantitation in CTA-derived wall area measurements by ground truth, pooled over vessels in the scale of percent mm 2 . (c) Plot of precision, in terms of reproducibility coefficient, of CTA-derived wall area measurements, pooled over vessels in the scale of percent mm 2 . CTA, computed tomography angiography.

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Table 3

(A) Bias Profile for Wall Area Across Arteries and Scanner Settings, and (B) Stratified Analysis for Wall Area

(A) Pooled Across Arteries and Scanner Settings True value (mm) 50.5–67.3 89.2–98.6 140–449 Overall No. of observations 16 16 24 56 Mean bias \* [95% CI] 8.90 [6.9, 10.9] 10.4 [5.7, 15.1] 32.89 [27.3, 38.5] 19.6 [15.5, 23.7] Mean % bias † [95% CI] 14.8% [12.2%, 17.5%] 11.5% [6.2%, 16.8%] 14.8% [12.6%, 16.9%] 13.9% [12.0%, 15.7%] SD [95% CI] 3.73 [2.76, 5.77] 8.84 [6.53, 13.69] 13.19 [10.25, 18.51] 15.3 [12.9, 18.8]

(B) Pooled Across Arteries But Stratified By Scanner Settings kVp 100 100 100 100 120 120 120 120 mAs 156 156 325 325 156 156 606 606 CTDIvol (mGy) ‡ 4.95 4.95 10.3 10.3 8.12 8.12 16.9 16.88 Filter B30f soft B30f B30f soft B30f B26f B30f B30f I30f Mean bias \* [95% CI] 19.84 [−0.37, 40.05] 17.24 [0.40, 34.08] 17.91 [6.64, 29.18] 19.15 [8.10, 30.21] 25.87 [9.21, 42.53] 17.10 [8.04, 26.15] 20.21 [9.82, 30.61] 14.40 [1.51, 27.29] Mean % bias † [95% CI] 11% [6%, 17%] 11% [5%, 17%] 13% [8%, 19%] 15% [9%, 20%] 19% [11%, 26%] 14% [7%, 21%] 17% [10%, 24%] 10% [4%, 16%] SD [95% CI] 21.85 [14.08, 48.13] 18.21 [11.73, 40.10] 12.19 [7.85, 26.83] 11.95 [7.70, 26.32] 18.02 [11.61, 39.68] 9.79 [6.31, 21.55] 11.24 [7.24, 24.75] 13.94 [8.98, 30.69]

CI, confidence interval; CTA, computed tomography angiography; DICOM, Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine; SD, standard deviation.

The bins were established according to approximate consistency observed in result (the vertebral and the smallest carotid being the first bin, the other carotids in the middle bin, and the two femorals with the aorta in the third bin).

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Maximum Wall Thickness

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Figure 6, (a) Scatter plot of CTA-derived maximum wall thickness measurements versus ground truth, pooled over vessels in the original scale of mm. (b) Plot of limit of quantitation in CTA-derived maximum wall thickness measurements by ground truth, pooled over vessels in the scale of percent mm. (c) Plot of reproducibility in terms of reproducibility coefficient as defined in the Methods section of CTA-derived maximum wall thickness measurements, pooled over vessels in the scale of percent mm. CTA, computed tomography angiography.

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Table 4

(A) Bias Profile for Maximum Wall Thickness Across Arteries and Scanner Settings, and (B) Stratified Analysis for Maximum Wall Thickness

(A) Pooled Across Arteries and Scanner Settings True value (mm) 2.88–3.05 4.3–4.43 5.88–8.96 Overall No. of observations 16 24 16 56 Mean bias \* [95% CI] 1.07 [0.98, 1.15] 1.17 [1.06, 1.29] 1.398 [1.27, 1.52] 1.21 [1.14, 1.28] Mean % bias † [95% CI] 36.0% [−33.0%, −38.9%] 26.9% [24.4%, 29.5%] 19.9% [16.7%, 23.1%] 27.5% [25.3%, 30.0%] SD [95% CI] 0.173 [0.127, 0.267] 0.268 [0.208, 0.376] 0.233 [0.172, 0.360] 0.264 [0.223, 0.325]

(B) Pooled Across Arteries But Stratified By Scanner Settings kVp 100 100 100 100 120 120 120 120 mAs 156 156 325 325 156 156 606 606 CTDIvol (mGy) ‡ 4.95 4.95 10.3 10.3 8.12 8.12 16.9 16.88 Filter B30f soft B30f B30f soft B30f B26f B30f B30f I30f Mean bias \* [95% CI] 1.20 [0.93, 1.48] 1.32 [1.12, 1.53] 1.21 [1.07, 1.35] 1.20 [0.98, 1.42] 1.39 [1.13, 1.65] 1.09 [0.78, 1.41] 1.16 [0.86, 1.45] 1.08 [0.89, 1.28] Mean % bias † [95% CI] 27% [21%, 33%] 30% [22%, 38%] 28% [20%, 36%] 27% [20%, 35%] 32% [22%, 41%] 25% [17%, 36%] 26% [18%, 35%] 25% [17%, 33%] SD [95% CI] 0.30 [0.19, 0.65] 0.22 [0.14, 0.48] 0.15 [0.10, 0.33] 0.24 [0.15, 0.52] 0.28 [0.18, 0.62] 0.34 [0.22, 0.75] 0.31 [0.20, 0.69] 0.21 [0.13, 0.46]

CI, confidence interval; CTA, computed tomography angiography; DICOM, Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine; SD, standard deviation.

The bins were established according to approximate consistency observed in result (the vertebral and the smallest carotid being the first bin, the other carotids and the smallest femoral in the middle bin, and the larger femoral with the aorta in the third bin).

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Discussion

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Lumen Area

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Maximum Stenosis

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Wall Area

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Maximum Wall Thickness

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Y−βoˆ±1.96×wSDˆ Y

β

o

±

1.96

×

w

S

D

where Y is the CTA-derived measurement for a new patient, βˆo β

o is an estimate of the constant bias, and wSD is the within-subject SD. We simulated data (ie, Y values) using the point estimates for the quadratic, linear, and intercept terms from the fitted model with the phantom data. From these data, we estimated βˆo β

o (ignoring nonlinear effects and assuming a linear slope of one). Next, we simulated data for new patients using the same point estimates for the quadratic, linear, and intercept terms from the fitted model with the phantom data. Finally, we determined the proportion of simulated patients whose 95% CI contains the true wall thickness value. The coverage of the 95% CIs for a new patient’s true wall thickness was at the nominal level, that is, 94.8%. In a second set of simulations, we evaluated the effect of the bias on the estimation of a new patient’s change in wall thickness measurements. Specifically, we evaluated the coverage of 95% CIs for a new patient’s true change in wall thickness. We used the following formula for constructing a 95% CI for the change:

(Y2−Y1)±1.96×{2(wSDˆ)2−−−−−−−−√} (

Y

2

Y

1

)

±

1.96

×

{

2

(

w

S

D

)

2

}

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Acknowledgments

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