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Prognostic Value of the Quantitative Metabolic Volumetric Measurement on 18F-FDG PET/CT in Stage IV Nonsurgical Small-cell Lung Cancer

Rationale and Objectives

Stage IV non–small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) consists of a heterogeneous group of patients with different prognoses. We assessed the prognostic value of baseline whole body tumor burden as measured by metabolic tumor volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), and standardized uptake values (SUV max and SUV mean ) of all tumors in nonsurgical patients with Stage IV NSCLC.

Materials and Methods

Ninety-two consecutive patients with newly diagnosed Stage IV NSCLC who had a pretreatment F-18 fludeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography scan were retrospectively reviewed. The MTV, TLG, SUV mean , and SUV max of whole-body (WB) tumors were measured with the MIMvista workstation with manual adjustment.

Results

There was a statistically significant association between overall survival (OS) and ln(MTV)/ln(TLG) at the level of WB tumor burden (MTV WB ) and of primary tumor (MTV T ). The hazard ratio (HR) for a 1-unit increase of ln(MTV WB ) and ln(MTV T ) before and after adjusting for age and gender was 1.48/1.48 (both P < .001) and 1.25/1.25 ( P = .006, .007), respectively. The HR for a 1-unit increase of ln(TLG WB ) and ln(TLG T ) before and after adjusting for age and gender was 1.37/1.37 (both P = .001) and 1.19/1.19 ( P = .001, .017), respectively. There was no statistically significant association between OS and ln(SUV max ) and ln(SUV mean ) at WB tumor burden, primary tumor, nodal metastasis, or distant metastasis ( P > .05). There was low interobserver variability between two radiologists with concordance correlation coefficients of 0.90 for ln(MTV WB ) and greater than 0.90 for SUV maxWB , SUV meanWB , and ln(TLG WB ).

Conclusion

Baseline WB metabolic tumor burden, as measured with MTV and TLG, is a prognostic measurement in patients within Stage IV NSCLC with low interobserver variability. This study also suggests pretreatment MTV and TLG measurements may be used to further stratify patients with Stage IV NSCLC and are better prognostic measures than SUV max and SUV mean measurements.

Lung cancer is the most common cause of cancer death in the world and the second most common cancer in both men and women, and number one cause of cancer-related deaths in the United States. In the United States in 2010, 157,300 people were projected to die from lung cancer, which is more than the number of deaths from colon and rectal, breast, and prostate cancer combined . Non–small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) comprises 80%–85% of all lung cancer cases .

Stage IV non–small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) consists of a heterogeneous group of patients who are often treated with different modalities . Based on the comprehensive analysis of 67,149 patients with Stage IV NSCLC as defined by the 6th edition of the Union International Contra la Cancrum (UICC)/American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for NSCLC enrolled in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program, the patients with distant metastasis have worse prognosis . The patients with tumor nodules on both sides of the chest have worse prognosis than those with separate ipsilateral tumor nodules in different lobes. The nodal status is a strong determinant of survival.

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Materials and methods

Patient Recruitment

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Imaging Protocols

PET/CT imaging

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Measurement of tumor volume on PET/CT

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Figure 1, Axial, sagittal, and coronal images from a positron emission tomography scan of a 57-year-old male with a new diagnosis of non–small-cell lung cancer, showing the measurements of standardized uptake value, metabolic tumor volume, and total lesion glycolysis with the MIMvista PETedge tool.

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Statistical Analysis

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Results

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Table 1

The Distribution of the Gender and Age, and PET/CT Measurements with Corresponding Survival Probabilities in 92 Stage IV Nonsurgical Cases with Non–small-cell Lung Cancer

Mean ± SD Overall Survival Median (mo) 1-year (%) 2-year (%) Gender (n) Female (55) 9.09 41.82 21.82 Male (37) 9.68 37.84 13.51 Age 65.6 ± 10.81 <Median (65) 56.69 ± 6.47 10.13 41.30 15.22 ≥Median 74.51 ± 5.67 8.24 39.13 21.74 SUV max SUV maxWB 10.99 ± 6.03 <Median 70.1 ± 1.47 11.17 47.83 21.74 ≥Median 14.99 ± 6.23 8.9 32.61 15.22 SUV maxT 9.32 ± 436 <Median 6.03 ± 1.91 10.37 45.65 19.57 ≥Median 12.62 ± 3.54 8.89 34.48 17.39 SUV maxN 5.81 ± 5.64 <Median 2.29 ± 2.02 11.67 50.00 23.91 ≥Median 9.32 ± 5.92 7.36 30.43 13.04 SUV maxM 5.88 ± 5.94 <Median 2.03 ± 1.93 10.25 43.48 23.91 ≥Median 9.73 ± 6.11 8.06 36.96 13.04 SUV mean SUV meanWB 3.78 ± 1.48 <Median 2.88 ± 0.44 9.12 39.13 15.22 ≥Median 4.68 ± 1.59 10.13 41.30 21.74 SUV meanT 3.67 ± 1.19 <Median 2.75 ± 0.63 9.42 43.48 17.39 ≥Median 4.58 ± 0.87 9.26 36.96 19.57 SUV meanN 4.15 ± 6.39 <Median 2.48 ± 0.46 9.68 37.84 13.51 ≥Median 5.83 ± 8.76 8.12 41.82 21.82 SUV meanM 3.13 ± 1.51 <Median 2.21 ± 0.60 8.69 35.14 13.51 ≥Median 4.07 ± 1.58 10.12 43.64 21.82 MTV MTV WB 248.21 ± 251.95 <Median 72.02 ± 44.50 13.89 58.57 32.61 ≥Median 424.41 ± 250.83 6.51 21.74 4.35 MTV T 142.95 ± 197.29 <Median 22.56 ± 16.40 12.72 52.17 28.26 ≥Median 263.34 ± 220.93 6.8 28.26 8.7 MTV N 40.53 ± 63.92 <Median 3.85 ± 4.23 10.84 47.83 21.74 ≥Median 77.20 ± 74.13 7.36 32.61 15.22 MTV M 62.32 ± 123.92 <Median 3.49 ± 4.01 10.7 43.48 23.91 ≥Median 121.14 ± 154.79 8.06 36.96 13.04 TLG TLG WB 968.4 ± 1029.48 <Median 255.61 ± 174.89 13.62 56.52 32.61 ≥Median 1681.19 ± 1036.30 6.8 23.91 4.35 TLG T 573.29 ± 810.85 <Median 77.04 ± 59.54 13.35 54.35 30.43 ≥Median 1069.54 ± 906.95 6.8 26.09 6.52 TLG N 157.12 ± 291.79 <Median 11.21 ± 13.71 11.67 50.00 21.74 ≥Median 303.04 ± 358.41 7.07 30.43 15.22 TLG M 229.56 ± 501.57 <Median 8.59 ± 11.02 10.25 41.30 23.91 ≥Median 450.53 ± 639.37 9.12 39.13 13.04

CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; mo, months; MTV, metabolic tumor volume (mL); MTV WB , MTV of whole body tumor (a median of 154.35 mL); MTV T , MTV of primary tumor (a median of 56.57 mL); MTV N , MTV of nodal metastasis (a median of 13.16 mL); MTV M , MTV of distant metastasis (a median of 12.46 mL); OS, overall survival; SD, standard deviation; SUV max , maximum standardized uptake value; SUV maxWB , SUV max of whole body tumor (with a median of 9.28); SUV maxT , SUV max of primary tumor (a median of 8.67); SUV maxN , SUV max of nodal metastasis (a median of 5.47); SUV maxM , SUV max of distant metastasis (a median of 4.99); SUV mean , mean standardized uptake value; SUV meanWB , SUV mean of whole body tumor (a median of 3.43); SUV meanT , SUV mean of primary tumor (a median of 3.51); SUV mean , SUV mean of nodal metastasis (a median of 3.04); SUV meanM , SUV mean of distant metastasis (a median of 2.94); TLG, total lesion glycolysis (SUV*mL); TLG WB , TLG of whole body tumor (a median of 574.65 SUV∗mL); TLG T , TLG of primary tumor (a median of 214.13 SUV∗mL); TLG N , TLG of nodal metastasis (a median of 48.95 SUV∗mL); TLG M , TLG of distant metastasis (a median of 34.26 SUV∗mL).

Table 2

The Association of Overall Survival (OS) with Age, Gender, and PET/CT Measurements in 92 Stage IV Nonsurgical Cases with Non–small-cell Lung Cancer

Univariate Analysis Multivariate Analysis ∗ HR (95% CI)P Value HR (95% CI)P Value Gender Male vs. female 1.24 (0.79–1.96) .349 Age (y) <65.6 vs. ≥65.6 0.996 (0.98–1.02) .712 SUV max ln(SUV maxWB ) 1.27 (082–1.99) .28 1.24 (0.80–1.95) .335 ln(SUV maxT ) 1.35 (0.92–1.99) .13 1.35 (0.91–1.98) .134 ln(SUV maxN ) 1.00 (0.63–1.61) .98 0.98 (0.61–1.57) .918 ln(SUV maxM ) 1.16 (0.77–1.73) .48 1.17 (0.77–1.77) .464 SUV mean ln(SUV meanWB ) 1.14 (0.57–2.25) .72 1.07 (0.53–2.15) .85 ln(SUV meanT ) 1.20 (0.70–2.06) .50 1.18 (0.69–2.01) .554 ln(SUV mean ) 1.34 (0.81–2.20) .26 1.26 (0.75–2.13) .385 ln(SUV meanM ) 1.00 (0.56–1.81) .99 0.99 (0.55–1.80) .99 MTV ln(MTV WB ) 1.48 (1.20–1.82) <.001 1.48 (1.19–1.84) <.001 ln(MTV T ) 1.25 (1.07–1.47) .006 1.25 (1.06–1.47) .007 ln(MTV N) 1.21 (0.99–1.47) .06 1.19 (0.97–1.46) .09 ln(MTV M ) 1.06 (0.90–1.25) .48 1.07 (0.90–1.27) .42 TLG ln(TLG WB ) 1.37 (1.13–1.65) .001 1.37 (1.13–1.66) .001 ln(TLG T ) 1.19 (1.04–1.37) .01 1.19 (1.03–1.36) .017 ln(TLG N ) 1.17 (0.98–1.39) .08 1.15 (0.96–1.38) .118 ln(TLG M ) 1.04 (0.91–1.20) .55 1.05 (0.91–1.22) .495

CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; ln, natural log transformation was performed before Cox regression analysis. See Table 1 for other abbreviations.

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Table 3

Association of Overall Survival (OS) with Gender, Age, and PET/CT Measurements in 79 Nonsurgical Patients in Stage IV with Non–small-cell Lung Cancer

Univariate Analysis Multivariate Analysis ∗ HR (95% CI)P Value HR (95% CI)P Value Gender Female Reference .476 Male 1.20 (0.73–1.98) Age 0.99 (0.97–1.01) .388 SUV max ln(SUV maxWB ) 1.14 (0.70–1.86) .600 1.11 (0.68–1.83) .668 ln(SUVmaxT) 1.28 (0.85–1.95) .241 1.28 (0.85–1.95) .240 ln(SUVmaxN) 0.98 (0.60–1.62) .949 0.96 (0.58–1.59) .877 ln(SUV max M) 1.00 (0.63–1.58) .983 0.96 (0.60–1.54) .862 SUV mean ln(SUV meanWB ) 1.00 (0.47–2.12) .992 0.97 (0.46–2.06) .939 ln(SUV meanT ) 1.13 (0.64–1.98) .673 1.11 (0.64–1.95) .707 ln(SUV meanN ) 1.18 (0.65–2.15) .584 1.12 (0.61–2.07) .717 ln(SUV meanM ) 0.83 (0.44–1.55) .552 0.80 (0.43–1.50) .489 MTV ln(MTV WB ) 1.41 (1.11–1.78) .005 1.39 (1.09–1.78) .009 ln(MTV T ) 1.20 (1.00–1.44) .045 1.19 (0.99–1.42) .063 ln(MTV N ) 1.16 (0.94–1.44) .167 1.15 (0.92–1.42) .211 ln(MTV M ) 1.00 (0.84–1.20) .987 0.98 (0.81–1.19) .842 TLG ln(TLG WB ) 1.30 (1.05–1.60) .014 1.28 (1.03–1.59) .023 ln(TLG T ) 1.15 (0.99–1.33) .078 1.14 (0.97–1.32) .104 ln(TLG N ) 1.12 (0.93–1.35) .228 1.11 (0.92–1.34) .289 ln(TLG M ) 0.99 (0.85–1.15) .898 0.97 (0.82–1.15) .729

Abbreviations as in Tables 1 and 2 .

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Figure 2, Kaplan-Meier curves of overall survival after baseline positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography grouped according to PET measurements in 92 nonsurgical patients with stage IV non–small-cell lung cancer show the association of the natural logarithm of whole-body metabolic tumor volume [ln(MTV WB )] with cumulative survival. The dashed lines indicate the group with values less than the median and the solid lines are the group with values greater than or equal to the median of the PET measurements.

Figure 3, Kaplan-Meier curves of overall survival after baseline positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography grouped according to PET measurements in 92 nonsurgical patients with stage IV non–small-cell lung cancer show the association of the natural logarithm of whole-body total lesion glycolysis [ln(TLG WB )] and cumulative survival. The dashed lines indicate the group with values less than the median and the solid lines are the group with values greater than or equal to the median of the PET measurements.

Figure 4, Kaplan-Meier curves of overall survival after baseline positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography grouped according to PET measurements in 92 nonsurgical patients with stage IV non–small-cell lung cancer show the association of the natural logarithm of whole-body maximum standardized uptake value [ln(SUV maxWB )] and cumulative survival. The dashed lines indicate the group with values less than the median and the solid lines are the group with values greater than or equal to the median of the PET measurements.

Figure 5, Kaplan-Meier curves of overall survival after baseline positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography grouped according to PET measurements in 92 nonsurgical patients with stage IV non–small-cell lung cancer show the association of the natural logarithm of whole-body mean standardized uptake value [ln(SUV meanWB )] and cumulative survival. The dashed lines indicate the group with values less than the median and the solid lines are the group with values greater than or equal to the median of the PET measurements.

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Discussion

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Conclusion

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