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Prognostic Vascular Imaging Biomarkers in High-Grade Gliomas

Rationale and Objectives

Despite recent advances in the treatment of high-grade gliomas, overall survival (OS) remains poor, which underlines the importance of searching for and determining prognostic imaging biomarkers. The purpose of our retrospective study was to correlate patient survival with relative cerebral blood volume (rCBV) and permeability surface area-product (PS) measured using perfusion computed tomography (PCT) in patients with high-grade gliomas.

Methods

This study was composed of 54 patients with high-grade gliomas (World Health Organization [WHO] grade III, n = 14; WHO grade IV, n = 40) who underwent pretreatment PCT. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates were computed to describe OS for patients with high-versus-low PCT parameters, as well as grade III and IV gliomas.

Results

Differences in OS between high and low rCBV, PS, and rCBV + PS were significant ( P < .001) for all high-grade gliomas. After adjustment for WHO grade, rCBV ( P = .041) and rCBV + PS ( P = .013) estimates remained significant, whereas PS estimates were not ( P = .214). PS estimates showed a statistically significant difference for OS in the grade III glioma group ( P = .011), whereas for grade IV gliomas, rCBV estimates were statistically significant ( P = .019). rCBV + PS was statistically significant for OS in both grade III ( P = .001) and grade IV ( P = .004) glioma groups.

Conclusions

Blood volume and permeability estimates measured using PCT can help predict survival in patients with high-grade gliomas. Patients with high PCT parameters showed worse OS compared to the patients with low PCT. Both rCBV and rCBV + PS remained statistically significant even after adjustment for WHO grade, suggesting these may be better predictors of OS than histological grade.

High-grade gliomas are often heterogeneous tumors, which infiltrate the brain parenchyma. As a result, complete cure is nearly impossible and, despite aggressive multimodality treatment approaches, the survival rate for high-grade gliomas remains dismal. Currently, prognostic factors for patients with high-grade gliomas are clinically based, the most important of which include patient age, Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) score, extent of initial surgical resection, and molecular profile . The search for prognostic biomarkers, especially in vivo imaging biomarkers, continues with significant improvements in the resolution of clinically available imaging tools. Functional imaging modalities/techniques can provide information about the metabolic (magnetic resonance spectroscopic imaging, positron emission tomography) and physiological (diffusion-weighted imaging, perfusion imaging) aspects of tumor biology, which could not only provide important prognostic information about tumor behavior and aggressiveness but also offer a means of assessing early response to specific treatment regimens by measuring quantifiable parameters. One particular group of parameters being explored is related to tumor perfusion. Although most perfusion imaging studies have focused on blood volume estimates and correlation with survival prediction in mixed populations of gliomas, tumor vascular permeability estimates have not been evaluated in much detail, particularly in relation to survival prediction . However, tumor blood volume and permeability appear to represent two different aspects of tumor vasculature and angiogenesis . Thus, each parameter may provide unique information about the tumor microenvironment. In addition, leaky tumor vasculature is known to be associated with higher tumor grade and increased malignant potential . Thus, estimating tumor leakiness, in particular, could provide help in quantifying angiogenesis in high-grade gliomas, perhaps serving as an important prognostic biomarker.

The purpose of this study was to retrospectively assess the prognostic value of both tumor blood volume (relative cerebral blood volume) and permeability surface area-product (PS) estimates obtained using perfusion computed tomography (PCT) in patients with high-grade gliomas.

Materials and methods

Study Population

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PCT Studies

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Statistical Analysis

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Results

Choosing Cut Points for rCBV and PS

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Survival Analysis for All High-Grade Gliomas

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Table 1

Patient Data and Prognostic Factors Affecting OS

Prognostic Factor_n_ 12-mo OS 24-mo OS Median Survival (mo)P Value ∗ Age <50 y 19 84.2% 63.2% 35.9 .056 ≥50 y 35 65.8% 37.19% 15.8 Sex Male 33 78.8% 42.0% 17.3 .812 Female 21 61.9% 52.4% 30.2 WHO grade III 14 92.9% 78.6% 44.7 .017 IV 40 65.0% 35.0% 15.1 Extent of surgery Gross-total resection 11 81.8% 53.0% 39.5 .653 Subtotal resection 31 67.7% 41.9% 15.8 Biopsy 12 75.0% 50.0% 23.9 Karnofsky Performance Status score ≤80 13 61.5% 30.8% 14.4 .009 >80 37 78.4% 53.8% 34.6

OS, overall survival; WHO, World Health Organization.

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Figure 1, (a) Kaplan-Meier plot for relative cerebral blood volume (rCBV) in all high-grade gliomas showing better overall survival (OS) for gliomas with low rCBV (<2.7) compared to high rCBV. (b) Kaplan-Meier plot for permeability surface area-product (PS) in all high-grade gliomas showing better OS for gliomas with low PS (<1.7 mL/100 g/min) compared to high PS. (c) Kaplan-Meier plot for rCBV + PS in all high-grade gliomas showing better OS for gliomas with low rCBV + PS compared to high rCBV + PS.

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Table 2

Multivariate Results: Hazard Ratios, Confidence Intervals, and P Values from Cox Regression Models

rCBV Model I (CPE = 0.661) Model II (CPE = 0.681) Variable HR (95% CI)P Value HR (95% CI)P V alue Age (increase of 10 y) 1.02 (0.68–1.51) .939 0.90 (0.59–1.37) .625 KPS (increase of 10) 0.87 (0.65–1.17) .347 0.78 (0.55–1.10) .159 Surgery GTR vs BX 1.17 (0.37–3.67) .792 0.85 (0.25–2.83) .784 STR vs BX 1.22 (0.47–3.11) .685 0.95 (0.36–2.53) .915 High rCBV 3.76 (1.30–10.94) .014 3.06 (1.05–8.92) .041 WHO grade IV 2.15 (0.72–6.44) .172

PS Model III (CPE = 0.666) Model IV (CPE = 0.672) Variable HR (95% CI)P Value HR (95% CI)P Value Age (increase of 10 y) 1.13 (0.77–1.65) .548 1.02 (0.68–1.55) .918 KPS (increase of 10) 0.89 (0.66–1.20) .428 0.79 (0.55–1.15) .220 Surgery GTR vs BX 0.90 (0.29–2.81) .856 0.79 (0.25–2.53) .690 STR vs BX 1.39 (0.55–3.51) .487 1.24 (0.48–3.20) .664 High PS 2.67 (1.03–6.89) .042 1.95 (0.56–6.78) .214 WHO grade IV 1.95 (0.68–5.58) .291

rCBV + PS Model V (CPE = 0.677) Model VI (CPE = 0.689) Variable HR (95% CI)P Value HR (95% CI)P Value Age (increase of 10 y) 1.06 (0.74–1.51) .771 0.97 (0.65–1.44) .868 KPS (increase of 10) 0.91 (0.68–1.23) .554 0.83 (0.58–1.20) .326 Surgery GTR vs BX 1.05 (0.34–3.27) .931 0.90 (0.28–2.91) .856 STR vs BX 1.05 (0.41–2.69) .925 0.95 (0.36–2.48) .915 High rCBV + PS 4.32 (1.68–11.1) .002 3.53 (1.30–9.58) .013 WHO grade IV 1.75 (0.54–5.67) .350

BX, biopsy; CI, confidence interval; CPE, concordance probability estimate; GTR, gross total resection; HR, hazard ratio; KPS, Karnofsky Performance Status; PS, permeability surface area-product; rCBV, relative cerebral blood volume; STR, subtotal resection; WHO, World Health Organization.

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Survival Analysis for WHO Grade III and Grade IV Glioma Groups Separately

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Figure 2, (a) Kaplan-Meier plot for low and high relative cerebral blood volume (rCBV) showing high rCBV grade III gliomas with worse overall survival (OS), similar to grade IV gliomas. (b) Kaplan-Meier plot for low and high permeability surface area-product (PS) showing high PS grade III gliomas with worse OS, similar to grade IV gliomas. (c) Kaplan-Meier plot for low and high rCBV + PS showing that rCBV + PS differentiates OS experience regardless of World Health Organization grade.

Figure 3, Grade III glioma illustrative case. (a) Postcontrast T1-weighted axial magnetic resonance imaging, (b) relative cerebral blood volume (rCBV), (c) permeability surface area-product (PS) map in a patient with heterogeneously enhancing solid mass showing higher rCBV (3.95) and higher PS (3.22 mL/100 g/min) who had worse overall survival (OS) (519 days) compared to d and e, and (f) another patient with a similar heterogeneously enhancing solid mass with lower rCBV (1.77) and PS (0.62 mL/100 g/min) and had better OS (alive at 1015 days).

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Figure 4, Grade IV glioma illustrative case. (a) Postcontrast T1-weighted axial magnetic resonance imaging, (b) relative cerebral blood volume (rCBV), (c) permeability surface area-product (PS) map in a patient with enhancing necrotic mass showing higher rCBV (7.8) and higher PS (4.2 mL/100 g/min) who had worse overall survival (OS) (268 days) compared to d and e, and (f) another patient with a similar necrotic mass with relatively lower rCBV (2.5) and PS (2.1 mL/100 g/min) but with a better OS (1185 days).

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Additional Survival Analysis to Account for Differences in Treatment

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Discussion

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Limitations of the Study

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Conclusions

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Acknowledgments

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